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Please post your comments HERE [NO signup or email required] or SUGGEST stocks/ETFs you want included in FLIR Packaging and Pricing: just $8.95 for 30 FLIRs across 13 stocks! bottom of page Want quant
calls? We do it for you.
Unique tunneling algorithm spots inflection points days or weeks away. Some earlier forecasts are shown below. Please Read Our Disclaimer. |
| Understanding FLIR. A FLIR report should be understood as indicating a high probability of an inflection point occurring at the approximate date specified. An inflection point is defined as almost always marking the start of a trend reversal. In some instances, where an issue has been trading sideways, it simply indicates a move with direction unknown, but usually up. In some rare instances, it can indicate trend continuation but at a much steeper rate of climb or descent, or sudden loss of trend momentum and conversion to sideways movement. Here is the Instructions Page. |
| Best Practice. READ
THE STOCK'S CHART. If it has been trending up just prior to the
inflection point, it will most likely now begin trending
downward. If
it has been trending down just prior to the inflection point, it will
most likely now begin trending upward.
If
it has been trending sideways just prior to the inflection point, it
will most likely now begin trending upward (but this one can be tricky,
so use some extra caution). Between now and inflection, the FLIR report may miss several excellent moves. This is in the nature of quantitative analysis. |
| Interim Report on Pkg #1 . As discussed in next section
below, I allow +/- one day to declare a FLIR "success". So far,
with
FLIR Package #1, based on 13 calls this week, FLIR has an amazing 12/13 success rate or 92%.
For verification that I made these calls in advance, please go to where you'll see that the calls were posted Monday 6/15/09 (imageshack does not allow modifying posts, so you know the posting date at lower right is true). Check your charts and you'll confirm the following: AAPL exact hit- tues was slight hi of minicycle then back down after AMZN exact hit- tues was momo conversion to sideways, probably marking a return north for next week BAC failure. AA 1 day ahead of reversal point F 1 day ahead of reversal point HIG exact hit- tues was slight hi of minicycle then back down after, and then significant reversal MET 1 day ahead of strong reversal point SPY 1 day ahead of strong reversal point CVS 1 day late for start of strong reversal up (three days up so far) GOOG exact hit, marked strong reversal up RIMM 1 day late for start of strong reversal down (three days down so far) DAL exact hit, mild upward reversal FLIR Pkg #1 Score ytd 12/13 = 92%
17 FLIRs remaining thru 7/14/09- See page bottom to purchase |
| Stopping by AFTER a forecast
date? Want to VERIFY that we made these forecasts beforehand? Okay, yahoo forum users cannot edit their posts. So go check the yahoo timestamps on this thread.-- usually under "radiodude" and sometimes we ask "rhustox90" to post for us. Enjoy! Report is below!
AIG Inflection PointsOverall
ytd Analysis-
Of 16 FLIR points so far, 11 were EXACTLY accurate. The rest were +/- 1 day. 11/16 = 68.75% accuracy (including 2 INTC failures). Allowing for +/- 1 day, = about 99% accuracy. (not including the 2 INTC FLIRs) (we are not including INTC in future packages due to this difficulty) (charts showing ACCURACYare in the free FLIR Sampler mentioned below)... Here are the honest results so far, based on my "original" FLIR definition of making EXACT calls. However, FLIR calls trend reversals much better- nearly 100%. Successes are in bold blue, failures in bold red. Other dates (black) are pending. Daily, Day(s) of 4/23/09, 5/4/09, 6/3/09 Weekly, Week(s) of 6/15/09, 7/13/09 (more below this stunning AIG chart) Hard to believe? look at this yahoo forum post- yahoo does not allow editing posts so you know the April 21 timestamp is true! BAC Inflection Points Daily, Day(s) of 4/22/09, 4/28/09, 5/8/09 Weekly, Week(s) of 5/4/09, 6/8/09 UYG Inflection Points Daily, Day(s) of 4/24/09, 5/1/09 Weekly, Week(s) of 5/11/09 JAVA Inflection Points Daily, Day(s) of 4/22/09, 5/7/09 (but weak runup) Weekly, Week(s) of 4/27/09 FAZ Inflection Points Daily, Day(s) of 4/22/09 (but weak), 4/28/09 Weekly, Week(s) of [not enough data] Please post your comments here
or SUGGEST stocks/ETFs you want included in FLIR [no signup or email required] |
|
Packaging & Pricing
Just $8.95 for 30 FLIRs (the purchase title says "flir1sample" but it's the complete Report) FLIR
Report #1 contains:
30 FLIRs distributed across 13 stocks, including Numbers mean number of FLIR dates given for each stock, based either on daily or weekly chart AA, 3 daily\AAPL, 2 daily\AMZN, 3 daily\BAC, 3 daily\CRM, 1 daily\CVS, 2 daily DAL, 3 daily, 2 weekly\F, 3 daily\GOOG, 1 daily\HIG, 2 daily\MET, 2 daily RIMM, 1 daily\SPY, 2 daily Half (15) of the above FLIRs occur 6/16/09 thru 6/24/09. Half (15) of the above FLIRs occur 6/26/09 thru 7/14/09. PLUS++ Handy Printable FLIR Calendar PLUS++ Insightful further analysis FLIR Report #1- read the Sampler click here Pricing. No "subscriptions"!!!! Strictly ala carte. Only $8.95. How is FLIR Produced? FLIR is not automated, or I'd gladly offer more than 10 stocks per package. Problem is, it's nearly impossible to automate because of character differences between stocks and between timeframes within each stock. Each FLIR is therefore individually located, making subtle algorithm adjustments as needed until a "match" occurs between algorithms that identify past FLIR points and those signaling future dates. The calculations are made almost literally by hand. No matchup after several attempts? I abandon that stock and move on to the next. This results in a lot of time spent screening and discarding many stocks. |